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> it’s at best a post-hoc estimation of what a human inner monologue might be in this circumstance

Nope. It's not autoregressive training on examples of human inner monologue. It's reinforcement learning on the results of generated chains of thoughts.



"It's reinforcement learning on the results of generated chains of thoughts."

No, that's not how LLMs work.



Base models are trained using autoregressive learning. "Reasoning models" are base models (maybe with some modifications) that were additionally trained using reinforcement learning.




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